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Italy took a convincing 4:0 victory last time out in qualifiers away to Liechtenstein, as the team showed great superiority from the first minute and sealed the three pointer already inside the first halftime. Goals were scored by Belotti twice, Immobile and Candreva, as the Italians lowered down the tempo and saved some energy later on.
After this victory, Italy remained being second with three victories and a draw, sharing the leading position with Spain, while Israel remains with a point less only with Albanians having six points so far – which means that this is surely a must win situation for the hosts. After that game, they had a friendly match at home against Germany staying to a goalless draw.
In comparison to previous squad, some well known names like defender Giorgio Chiellini (90/7, Juventus), midfielders Claudio Marchisio (54/5, Juventus), Riccardo Montolivo (64/2, Milan), Thiago Motta (30/1, PSG), with midfielder Federico Bernardeschi and forward Manolo Gabbiadini pulling out from the squad in last moment.
Albania started their qualifying path well with two victories, over FYR Macedonia at home and on the road against Liechtenstein with two modest victories but still three pointers, but the team disappointed a bit in next two matches – losing in front of own fans against Spain 0:2, but also in the last round in Novemeber against Israel 0:3 also at home.
With these two defeats, Albania now already has four points less than the leading duo and will need to make a huge surprise away from home and make a “break” in order to get back into the match. Their game against Israel went completely wrong, with the hosts remaining with a man less already in 17th minute via Djimsiti who committed a penalty foul with Zahavi bringing the guests into the lead from penalty kick just a minute later. Home side stood with two men less when Berisha got red card, while the guests sealed the victory with goals from Einbinder and Atar, missing few more chances in the progress.
Goalkeeper Etrit Berisha (43/0, Atalanta) is suspended now, same as defender Berat Djimsiti (12/1, Avellino). Injured are defender Mergim Mavraj (34/3, Hamburger SV), midfielders Ermir Lenjani (24/3, Rennes), Ergys Kace (18/2, PAOK) and forward Edgar Cani (16/4, Pisa).
Everything seems pretty much obvious here. There certain individual quality that speaks for the home side, while without any doubt, Italians seem to be also in a better momentum. With two important defensive players being suspended, I don’t see plenty of chances for Albanian side to remain competitive in this one.
Hoffenheim comes from 1:1 draw away from home against Freiburg last weekend, as the team increased their undefeated streak to four matches now in Bundesliga. However, it must be said that they probably deserved more, being with much more of the ball possession and with much more chances created overall.
However, hosts were the ones who took the lead first, in 56th minute via Philipp who missed firstly a penalty kick, but Kramaric leveled up the result just six minutes later. Hoffenheim remained better till the end, but the scoreline never changed. The side is having three consecutive victories at home since the restart of the league as they look to continue in the same way, as they stand at fourth position, having just a point less than third placed Dortmund that stands on a position that leads directly to Champions League.
Hoffenheim will be playing in 3-5-2 formation with Kramaric and Wagner as forwards. Central defender Kevin Vogt (21/0) is suspended for this one, while injured for this match remains offensive midfielder and forward Mark Uth (14/6). Midfielders Lukas Rupp (11/2) and Pavel Kaderabek (20/0) are both doubtful but with chances to recover in time.
Leverkusen, on the other side, continued with poor form as the team comes only from a 1:1 draw in front of own fans against Werder Bremen last weekend which was their third consecutive game in Bundesliga without a victory. In the mean-time, they also played Champions League 1/8 finals clashes against Ateltico Madrid, coming from a goalless draw last Wednesday against the Spaniards on the road which ment exclusion after 2:4 defeat in front of own fans.
It must be said that Leverkusen was actually better than Werder in that game, but the team didn’t convert their chances in a proper way. Volland brought the home team into the lead in seventh minute, while Pizarro leveled up in 79th minute, with the home team being better but also missing a penalty kick in seventh minute of additional time. Bayer is now at tenth position, with just four points less than Europa League placed sides and must win and finally start playing good in consecutive matches if they are to fight seriously for the European exit.
Visitors from Leverkusen will be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation, using Chicharito as central striker, plus Bellarabi, Volland and Brandt. Guests won’t be able to count at midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu (15/6) and left back Wendell (23/2). Central defender Jonathan Tah (16/1) is injured, same as long term absentee, midfielder Lars Bender (9/0). Other central defender Omer Toprak (18/1) is doubtful but will be involved most likely.
Hoffenheim is unbeaten in last four matches and they currently sit in the Champions League position spot and remain in a must win situation. Leverkusen is far away from a stable team without a victory in last three and I don’t see them remaining very competitive for this one. Hosts have been looking really solid so far in the season in front of own fans.
Lille is not having generally good season so far, but the team has improved in previous couple of months without any doubts, since they were deep in the relegation battle at one moment, but now stand at fourteenth position in Ligue 1, having five points more than relegating worried Nancy and if the team continues in the same way, they will avoid any further trouble later on.
The team impressed last weekend, mostly in the second halftime when the players of Lille managed to take all three points in away game against Nancy with a 1:2 result. However, hosts entered the match better and took the lead in 31st minute via Dia, while the visitors responded with way better performance in the remaining of the match and deserved the three pointer with goals frmo De Preville in 63rd minute from a penalty kick and Rony Lopes in 81st, as they dominated almost complete second halftime. Lille will be missing central defender Basa (20/1).
Marseille, on the other side, can’t make themselves play good in consecutive matches, but the team still does pretty well at the moment, being at fifth position with five points less than Europa League placed Lyon and coming from three victories in last four rounds, also two consecutive victories in Ligue 1.
They won over Angers in front of own fans with a convincing performance and a 3:0 result. However, it must be said that the players of Angers didn’t deserve such a defeat and outcome, since they looked very threatening in attack, but the players of Marseille were very effective in front of opponents goal. Thauvin brought them into the lead in 9th minute, with Cabella doubling up the lead in 20th minute already and Thauvin again sealing the victory in 77th minute. Visitors are set to miss suspended midfielder Vainqueur (21/0), but also defenders Rekik (10/0) and Evra (4/0) as well as midfielder Diaby (2/0).
Lille is doing little better in previous months, but need still to improve in their home matches. Hosts come with a morale boosting performance and result and I definitely see them coming in attacking mood and being threatening here. Marseille remains favorite and with plenty of quality in attack, but they as a team are nowhere to be trusted easily – therefore, my first betting choice will be both teams to score.
Fulham surprised everyone with a victory last weekend as the team visited probably the strongest side in Championship Newcastle on Saturday evening but managed to pull out very important 3:1 victory. It was a very competitive match, as both sides had good chances to score, while the visiting players stood with much more ball possesion and somehow more concrete chances.
Visitors from London took the lead in 15th minute via Cairney, but secured the victory with two goals from Sessegnon earlier in the second halftime, in 51st and 59th minute. All the hosts were able to do is to reduce the deficit in 76th minute with a goal from Murphy, while the guests even missed a penalty kick towards the end of the game. Fulham is now undefeated in last seven matches in Championship having five victories and two draws, being now just two points behind sixth and play-off placed Sheffield Wednesday which means a must win situation for them.
Hosts should be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Aluko as central striker, plus Sessegnon, Cairney and Kebano as offensive midfielders. Offensive midfielder Lucas Piazon (22/5) is injured and won’t play here, same as offensive Floyd Ayite (22/5) as the game comes too soon for him due injury problems. Defender Thanos Petsos (no performance yet) remains doubtful as it’s not certain whether the game comes too soon for him due calf injury
Blackburn also did well in last weekend’s game, as the side pulled out a point from visiting Norwich in a 2:2 draw last Saturday evening. However, must be said that the hosts entered better in the game and took the lead in 19th minute via Jerome, but the major fact in the game was exclusion of their defender Dijks in 21st minute and the situation completely changed.
From that moment on Blackburn had much more of the ball possession and dominated with a man more, scoring twice within five minutes later in the game, in 73rd and 78th minute, while the hosts got lucky to snatch a point with the equalizer from Jerome. Visitors are also in quite fine form at the moment, coming from five undefeated matches run (two home victories and three draws), as the team currently stands inside the relegation zone, being at 22nd position with the same number of points as safely placed Bristol City, so logically they are also desperate to gain points here.
Defensive midfielder Corry Evans (19/0) and left back Adam Henley (2/0) are not fit enough after injuries and won’t play, while doubtful remain central defenders Charlie Mulgrew (22/2), Gordon Greer (21/0) and offensive Sam Gallagher (34/10). Visitors are set to play in their usual 4-4-2 formation using Emnes and Graham as forwards.
Fulham is now really close to getting into the play-off race and even though they face up against very solid and actually in form side, I don’t see hosts losing the momentum here. On contrary, I see them being fired up for this one and finally breaking into the play-off zone, positions they surely deserve after a very good performance away to Newcastle.
Inter looked really well last weekend when the team outplayed Cagliari and celebrated convincing 5:1 victory without rising their eyebrows. Guests were stronger from the first minute, taking the double lead in 34th minute via Perisic and five minutes later via Banega, but the hosts managed to reduce the deficit towards the end of the halftime via Boriello.
However, it was only thing what the hosts did, as the players of Inter scored three more in the repetition and cruised to an easy victory, thanks to goals from Perisic again in 47th, Icardi from a penalty kick in 67th and Gagliardini in 89th minute. It was their third victory in last four matches in Serie A, as Inter continues to be just below the European positions, being now at sixth place, with a point less than fifth placed Atalanta and six points less than Champions League placed Napoli. Marcelo Brozovic is back in training after missing the previous game, but the match probably comes too soon for him since he remains with a injury problem.
Atalanta, on the other side, is really enjoying this season and you can’t say much negative things about them, as the team comes from a goalless draw in front of own fans against Fiorentina last Sunday evening. The game itself wasn’t very interesting one, but it must be said that the hosts were more concrete side and if any team deserved to score a goal, that would surely be players of Atalanta.
Even though many expected them to win, it still wasn’t a negative result having in mind individual quality, as the team now stands with seven consecutive matches without defeat, having five victories and two draws in a run. They are at fifth position now with fifty-two points earned, being just five points below Champions League placed Napoli, but also with just a point more than sixth placed Inter that stands out of European places position. Defender Boukary Drame (10/0) and forward Aleksandar Pesic (6/0) are continuing to be out with calves injuries. Franck Kessie is back from suspension and will be employed in the midfield.
Inter is on a really good form and are looking like a real power in front of own fans, while I don’t see Atalanta failing to score twice in a row. Team from Bergamo is playing really well on the road probably being relaxed with lack of pressure away from home and I see this match getting really interesting as the time progresses.
After a starting defeat in front of own fans against Stuttgart in the first round after the break finished in 2. Bundesliga, St Pauli really improved in next five matches, getting four victories and just one draw. Their situation at the table has improved as well, since the team now stands at fifteenth position having three points more than play-out placed Karlsruher.
In case they continue in similar manner, the team will be safe regarding the relegation battle way before the ending of the season, as they now really look solid in comparison to the first favorite for relegation they were just two months ago. The team comes from a 1:2 victory on the road against Munich 1860 last weekend, despite being down in the scoreline from 27th minute via goal from Agbenyenu, while the guests reverted the scoreline within the first halftime, via goals from Sobiech in 36th and Bouhaddouz in 41st minute. Home side has no real fresh injury worries ahead of this one.
Union Berlin, on the other side, comes from a 2:0 victory in front of own fans against Wurzburger Kickers last weekend, despite the fact that they were playing with a man less for the entire second halftime since defender Puncec got red carded in 44th minute. Home team was leading from 21st minute on, when Polter wrote 1:0 for Union Berlin.
Despite being with a man less, players of Union Berlin didn’t look that poor on the field during the second halftime and even managed to be threatening via counter attacks, sealing the victory in 82nd minute via Kreilach. It was fourth consecutive victory for Union, as the side previously won over Munich 1860, Karlsruher and Arminia Bielefeld, as the side currently stands at second position with just four points less than leaders from Stuttgart.
Goalkeeper Jakob Busk (22/0) remains injured, while suspended is now central defender Roberto Puncec (18/0). Injured are also left back Kristian Pedersen (20/0), defensive midfielder Benjamin Kohler (no appearance so far) and central midfielder Dennis Daube (8/1).
Both teams are coming in a really good form now and the draw can’t be excluded, however I see Union Berlin being closer to the three pointer here. There is certain individual quality in their favor and their form has been stable for longer period – overall, I believe that the visitors are more than worth a try here.
Eibar had a very interesting match on Tuesday evening in previous LaLiga clash as the team managed to take a point in an away meeting against Real Sociedad. The thing is, their hosts were at least a bit better during the ninety minutes and the visitors were very lucky and should be happy with a point taken since they leveled up the result in third minute of additional time.
Players of Sociedad took the lead first in 14th minute via Juanmi, but the fighting visitors leveled up the result in 26th via Escalante. It looked bad for them since they stood playing with a man less in 46th when Lejeune got excluded, but the hosts soon returned the favor and stood playing with a man less too in 59th minute when Juanmi got red carded. Hosts re-took the lead from a penalty kick in 67th taken by Vela, but as said, guests were rewarded for the fighting spirit in third minute of additional time via Leon. Eibar now has only one defeat in last five matches in LaLiga, being just three points behind Europa League placed Villarreal.
Home team misses suspended central defender Florian Lejeune (24/1), but also injured goalkeeper Asier Riesgo (14/0) and forwards Nano (6/1) and Kike Garcia (
Real Madrid, on the other side, comes from a really big setback since the tem took only a point in their home match against Las Palmas in a 3:3 game last Wednesday evening. However, having in mind that they had to play with a man less almost for entire second half when Bale was excluded and that they were losing with two goals difference till last five minutes, they could be satisfied to have pulled away something out of the clash.
Scoreline was opened inside the first ten minutes already as Isco brought the home team into the lead in eight, but Tanausu replied just two minutes later. Visitors used a man more well and took the double lead thanks to goals from Viera (penalty kick) and Boateng, but the players from Madrid took a point thanks to two late goals from Ronaldo.
It was their second setback in three matches (previous victory over Villarreal but also defeat against Valencia both matches on the road), so the team doesn’t have point advnatage anymore. They do have a game less played, but also a point less than Barcelona and are just a point ahead of Sevilla – meaning this game is a must win one for them.
Central defender Raphael Varane (18/1) is injured, while forward Cristiano Ronaldo (20/18) should also miss the game due injury. Suspended are offensive players Alvaro Morata (17/8) and Gareth Bale (15/7).
Real Madrid is far away from their good form and even though they remain huge favorites for this one, I’m quite sure that the home team will bring a lot of problems to them, while plenty of goals and both teams scoring seems such an obvious choice for this one. I can’t rate the chances close to 50% like the odds suggest.
Union Berlin is looking really well since the restart of the league, since the team has four victories and just one draw away from home, currently standing at third position with just a point less than second placed Hannover and with a boosted morale are going into the battle for top positions that could give them promotion to the Bundesliga for the next season.
In the most recent match, the side won over Munich 1860 in front of own fans with quite comfortable performance as they took a 2:0 three pointer, without being jeopardized much in front of own goal. Hosts took the lead in 41st minute via Skrzybski, while they remained better on the field and looked more concrete, with the visitors from Munich doing almost nothing in attack. Hosts sealed the victory in 61st via Hedlund and remained strong on the field as said. Their only target for this match is another victory as it’s the only way to stay with good chances for promotion.
First choice goalkeeper Jakob Busk (22/0) is injured, while sidelined for this match also remain left back Kristian Pedersen (20/0), defensive midfielder Benjamin Kohler (no performance so far in the season), plus central midfielder Dennis Daube (8/1).
Wurzburger Kickers were having a really decent first part of the season, but now it seems that their form is far away from old one and the team should look to improve as soon as possible to get into the second part of the table and not to get into the relegation battle. At least the team improved a bit in the most recent game as they had previous three defeats before taking a point in a home game against Greuther Furth 1:1.
It was a very defensive game from both sides and hte draw was actually a fair outcome, as neither of the teams risked in order to get the victory. Players of Wurzburger took the lead first in 47th via Schrock, but the guests replied just five minutes later via an own goal from Diaz. The team now stands at eight position, but far away from promotional race as well as from relegation battle – currently ten points above red zone placed Arminia Bielefeld.
Their team captain and defender Sebastian Neumann (21/0) is doutbful for this match, while injured remains striker Nejmeddin Daghfous (18/2).
I’m completely sure that Union Berlin has what it takes in order to get the victory here. Motive is on their side, as well as fans, but also a bit of individual quality and form as well. Easy or hard team from Berlin should reach the three pointer.
Finnish Cup match between HJK and HIFK.HJK's preseason has been pretty good. On February they played against Swedish Allsvenskan teams Hammarby (won 2:3) and Norrköping (lost 4:3). There where some harsh mistakes in defence, but that was mainly because of some new young players getting first minutes in the team. In Finnish Cup HJK have won all their matches so far. Against HIFK, they will play with best players available because this is their last competitive game before season starts in April. All players out are those who have been injured longer time.HIFK's preseason has been poor. They lost Cup games to Grifk, Gnistan and Honka - teams that play in lower leagues. Only Cup game won was against KTP, which has not won a single game in six moths. Players out are Juho Mäkelä, Tommi Vesala, Jukka Halme, Pekka Sihvola, Pauli Kuusijärvi and Kristian Heinolainen -quite important absences. Also, HIFK lost one of their top goal scorer, Ville Salmikivi, who went to Bulgarian PFC Beroe Stara Zagora. It will be very hard for HIFK to score a goal against HJK in this game.Derby's have been tight between HJK and HIFK and perhaps that's why odds are pretty good for HJK (especially now when HIFK are missing important players and preseason has been sloppy).HJK *should* win this game easily despite being a derby. If HIFK wants to continue in the Cup, they must win this game and they need to attack. This opens up the game for HJK and i think we'll see more goals than usually between the two teams.I take a safe bet here and choose HJK with 3-way handicap 0-1. Bigger handicap and Asian handicaps are probably choices to consider also.
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