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After three consecutive victories, it seemed like Ingolstadt might be able to beat all the odds and secure their Bundesliga status for the next season even before this one is over, however they were back to reality last weekend as the team suffered 3:0 defeat away to Wolfsburg.

They tried away to Wolfsburg first, but soon understood they won’t be dominating the game, as the hosts cruised to a victory with an own goal at the end of the first halftime, but also with double in second part thanks to Malli and Gomez – overall deserving the victory as they looked way more concrete in offense. The team previously won over Augsburg, Mainz and Darmstadt, still improving their chances in the relegation battle, as they now stand second from the bottom but with four points less than safely placed Mainz and play-out placed Augsburg meaning that they need a victory badly here again.

Leczano should lead their attack, but also with the help of Leckie, Gross and Kittel as offensive midfielders. Central defenders Romain Bregerie (14/3), Marvin Matip (29/0) and left back Markus Suttner (27/4) are all suspended for this one. Forward Moritz Hartmann is doubtful.

Werder Bremen, on the other side, is really playing in impressive way in last couple of months, as the team remains undefeated in last nine matches in Bundesliga, but not only that – they have gathered seven victories and just two draws. Most recently, the side managed to overpower Hamburger SV with a 2:1 result on Sunday evening.

Their visitors took the lead in sixth minute via Gregoritsch, but the hosts soon replied with much improved performance and managed to level up the result in 41st via Kruse. They continued being slightly better and being more concrete in offense, scoring the second goal in 75th via Kainz and leaving no space for HSV to respond further. The side is now just two points behind Europa League placed Freiburg and remains in a must win situation.

Visitors are set to be playing in 3-4-1-2 formation, using Bartels and Gnabry as forwards, plus Kruse as offensive midfielder. Robert Bauer is fully fit again, while suspended for this match remains offensive midfielder Zlatko Junuzovic (26/3). Injured are offensive midfielder Izet Hajrovic (10/1), defensive midfielder Thomas Delaney (9/4), midfielder Clemens Fritz (18/0) and central defender Luca Caldirola (5/0).

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Werder Bremen’s last 5 games (Bundesliga).

Ingolstadt needs to attack here as only a three pointer brings them back to life, but Werder, on the other side, seems to be in the best form during all season and are now even chasing the European exit, also being in a must win situation. With both teams needing points badly and hosts missing important defenders for this one, I see the game being as open as possible.

Bet: Over 3 goals @ 2.22 with Pinnacle

 

Heerenveen continued with generally poor performances away from home, as the team suffered 5:1 defeat against Ajax on the road last weekend. Even though the team took the lead, they actually had no chances to resist this time as the opponent is fighting for the title this time.

Ghoochannejhad brought them into the lead in eight minute, however response from home side was huge later on, as they reverted the scoreline with three goals inside the first halftime, via Viergever, De Ligt and Klaassen. Victory was sealed inside the second halftime thanks to goals from Dolberg (penalty kick) and Neres, with the guests being limited to completely defensive role and threatening very little. Coming back to their home ground, the target is now to bounce back with a positive performance, as the team still aims play-off, with the game being their last chance since they are five points behind seventh placed Twente.

Home team should be playing in 4-3-3 formation, with Larsson, Ghoochannejhad and Zeneli as forwards. Manager Jurgen Streppel will only be missing central defender Joost van Aken (26/1) for this one.

After three consecutive defeats in a row, against Utrecht, Den Haag and PSV, players of Utrecht reacted well last Sunday afternoon as the side won over Go Ahead Eagles 2:0. First halftime completely belonged to the visitors and it was a surprise not seeing them taking the lead, but completely different story was seen in the second halftime.

Players of Willem II looked much more concrete and moved the ball way better, especially being concrete towards the end of the game when they scored twice, in 72nd minute via Sol and ten minutes later via Schuurman. The team took the victory after a run of four winless matches, as the side keeps eleventh position now, eight points above play-out placed sides with just three rounds till the end of the regular part of the season.

Visitors are set to play in 4-3-3 formation as well, starting with Croux, Sol and Haye upfront. Right defender Guus Joppen (11/0) is injured, same as left back Derick Katuku (22/0), right back Freek Heerkens (14/0), midfielder Dico Koppers (17/2) and forward Bartholomew Ogbeche (14/1).

  • SC Heerenveen have seen over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 matches against Willem II.
  • SC Heerenveen are undefeated in their last 14 home matches against Willem II.

Home team will be looking to bounce back from their huge defeat last weekend and I expect the hosts to respond here in manner. However, Willem II is far away from a naive side and with the team now being really close to secure the Eredivisie status for the next season, I see the team approaching this one a bit more relaxed. Something that should lead us to an overall open game.

Bet: Heerenveen Wins & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.37 with Bet365

 

After two home victories in previous weeks, against West Brom and Sunderland without a goal conceded, Watford didn’t manage to stay alive and competitive in the previous Premiership round when the team visited Tottenham on Saturday evening and stood defeated with a 4:0 result.

Actually, visitors had couple of decent chances at first, but soon enough couldn’t handle with the opponent’s attack, since the home team scored three goals inside last twelve minutes of the first halftime, in 33rd minute via Alli, in 39th via Dier and in 44th minute via Heung-Min, with the same player scoring fourth in 55th minute, as they continued playing second halftime being more dominant, but also in order to save some energy while the guests were very passive in attack in the second part. Watford is now at tenth position, but just nine points above relegating placed Swansea and a victory here would probably remove all the doubts regarding their status for the next season.

Watford should be playing in 4-3-3 formation, using Niang, Amrabat and Deeney as strikers. Home team still have number of injury concerns, since they miss central defender Younes Kaboul (22/2), midfielders Valon Behrami (23/0), Ben Watson (4/0), Roberto Pereyra (13/2) and offensive Mauro Zarate (3/0) all due injuries. Central defender Miguel Britos (25/1) is suspended for this one.

Swansea, on the other side, had every chance of walking away with something against West Ham, but the team stood with a narrow 1:0 defeat away from home last Saturday evening. Only goal was scored in 44th minute via Kouyate, while the Swans had very low number of concrete chances.

Visiting side just had more of the ball possession, but without real threatening situations in front of the Hammers goal, being very unconcrete in attack. It was their fifth consecutive match without a victory, as the Swans also have scored just once in last four Premier League matches. The team stands at the relegation position now, with twenty-eight points earned which is two points less than safely placed Hull City and the Swans remain in must win situation.

Visitors should be set in 4-2-3-1 formation with Llorente as their central striker, plus Ayew, Sigurdsson and Routldge as offensive midfielders. Striker Fernando Llorente returned to action last weekend in the second halftime and should start here. Defensive midfielder Jack Cork was forced off with ankle injury and remains doubtful for this one. Injured are right defender Angel Rangel (18/1) and midfielders Nathan Dyer (8/0) and Leon Britton (11/0).

  • Watford have seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches against Swansea.

Draw can’t be excluded between these two sides, but I see plenty of more chances for the home team to come up victorious from this one. The game probably won’t have many goals score and will have kind of a game style that suits Watford more.

Bet: Watford 0 Asian handicap @ 1.79 with BetVictor

 

Anderlecht is generally in a decent period right now, but the team comes from a setback last weekend as they took just a point in a goalless draw in front of own fans against Gent last weekend. The game itself wasn’t that bad as the final result shows, since the home team did look better and probably did deserve more than just a point.

On the other side, neither players of Gent looked very bad, since the visiting team also had their number of chances, but both sides lacked more concentration in the final effort. After this point taken, Anderlecht actually improved their chances since all results came as draw, so the team continues to stand first at the table, having four points more than their closest followers from Club Brugge.

Anderlecht will be playing most likely in 4-3-3 formation, using Hanni and Chipciu as wingers, plus Teodorczyk as central striker. Right (and sometimes left) full back Andy Najar (9/0) is injured for this one having already missed few matches earlier this month. Overall, nine players are just one booking away from suspension in the next leg.

Manchester United reacted well after their two consecutive home draws (against West Brom and Everton), as the side took a comfortable 3:0 victory away from home against Sunderland last Sunday evening. Ibrahimovic brought the visiting side into the lead in 30th minute, while the hosts stood playing with a man less in 43rd minute when midfielder Larsson got red carded.

From that moment on, the job was much easier for the visiting side, as the Red Devils sealed the victory easily thanks to goals from Mkhitaryan in 46th and Rashford in 89th minute. United is now again at fifth position at the moment, having four points less than Champions League placed Manchester City, but also a game less played which means that their chances are still high of playing in the Champions League next season.

Visitors from England will be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation, with Ibrahimovic as central striker, plus Mkhitaryan, Pogba and Rashford as offensive midfielders. Few changes are expected in their lineup, since right back Ashley Young (8/0), central defenders Chris Smalling (15/1), Phil Jones (14/0) and offensive midfieler Juan Mata (22/6) miss this trip. Sergio Romero is expected to continue in goal, with David De Gea working his back back to full fitness.

  • Man Utd have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 matches (UEFA Europa League).

This is one of rare chances for Manchester United to bring some joy to their fans and I’m pretty positive that the visitors will repond in the best possible way. Individual quality is with their side and with a proper motive now, I’m sure their chances of getting out victorious are way above 50%.

Bet: Man Utd Wins @ 1.95 with Bet365

 

Everton comes from two difficult matches away from home, as the team previous had a local derby game against Liverpool and lost it, while the side took a point also on the road last Tuesday evening when they had a 1:1 draw against much more favorites Manchester United.

They even had the lead for the most of the game, as Jagielka brought them into the lead in 22nd minute and players of Everton stood really well on the field and were defending mostly with United not having proper chances, but still managed to equalize from a penalty kick (rightfull completely in fourth minute of additional time) when Ibrahimovic scored and Williams got red carded due handling. Everton is now at seventh position, but more importantly they are now just three points behind fifth placed Arsenal and seven behind Champions League placed Manchester City, meaning that they need a victory in this one.

Lukaku should lead attack of the home team, together with Mirallas, Lookman and Barkley as offensive midfielders. Central defender Ashley Williams (30/1) is suspended now, while injured remain right back Seamus Coleman (26/4), central back Ramiro Funes Mori (23/0), midfielder Aaron Lennon (11/0) and offensive Yannick Bolasie (13/1). Defensive midfielder Muhamed Besic is unfit after long injury.

Leicester improved strongly after sacking Claudio Ranieri few weeks ago, as the team now counts six consecutive victories in all competitions. There is no doubt that in case they continue close to the similar level, they will be able to forget their relegation worries way before the end of the season.

Most recently, they took a professional and conving victory in front of own fans against Sunderland on Tuesday evening, as the side got the correct score once they improved the team in the second halftime. It was taken with goals from Slimani in 69th and Vardy in 78th minute, while the players of Sunderland were limited to a very passive role overall. The Foxes are now at eleventh position, having eight points more than relegating worried Swansea and need to continue in the same level.

The Foxes will be playing in their typical 4-4-2 formation with Vardy and Slimani most likely as forwards. Central defender Molla Wague remains injured, without performing for now. Also out are central back Wes Morgan (27/1) and midfielder Nampalys Mendy (4/0).

  • Everton have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 7 home matches against Leicester.

I expect very open and attacking game from both sides. Everton is in decent form and always a power in home matches, but the Foxes are now in a great form and I would think they will be very dangerous even against much more stronger side than what Everton currently is. Over shouldn’t be that questionable here.

Bet: Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 with Bet365

 

Le Havre – Laval

Earlier bet for me, due the results between these two teams when need points.

Remember said few time these two teams helped each other when were in difficult situation. Was an away win for LeHavre when they need 3 points to escape from relegation in 2012 followed by an away win for Laval next year, at that time Laval being involved in survival battle.

Coming in these days, Laval is struggling to take a win since 10 rounds, collecting in the process 7 points thanks to 7 draws. No wonder why they are rock bottom 2 points behind Auxerre (18th spot) and 1 behind Orleans (19th spot). In these game they have had plenty of good games but no luck for them to win. True is they slow down a bit lately especially against Auxerre and Laval. But they had a decent evolution against Ajaccio in last game also with no luck.

LeHavre is out from promotion battle and also far away of relegation battle, so pretty much safe. They made a good game against Reims but had a bit of luck taking a point (keeping in mind Reims evolution from 2nd part and also the fact that Reims hit the post once at 0-0). 5 defeats in front of their fans already so I guess will not be a big deal another one.

Due to this speculations, I dare to say Laval will collect all points here. gl

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
2 Marathonbet 4.90 6 Pending

In this Premier League game Southampton will host Crystal Palace.

Southampton are 10th with 34 points. They haven`t been at their best lately, having won only two out of the last eight competitive games. They did score eight goals in those two victories, but they came against Sunderland and Watford, which are weaker teams than them. On Saturday they played 0:0 with Bournemouth at St. Mary`s. Southampton were a better side in the first half, even though they didn`t create a clear chance. In the second half, however, Bournemouth were the ones who were closer to a goal, and they got a terrific chance to score in 79th minute, when Bertrand conceded penalty. Arter stepped up and sent the ball over the goal, which concluded the game. For this game Southampton will be without injured Austin, McCarthy, Targett and van Dijk, while Gabbiadini is doubtful due to groin injury.

Crystal Palace are 16th with 31 points, four above relegation zone. They skyrocketed up the table since Sam Allardyce took them over, but it was not like anybody doubted they would. Big Sam is master of keeping teams in the league, and he does it like only he can. The best example of that is the game against Watford, which they won without having a single shot on goal. They are currently on a four-game winning streak, during which their goal difference is 6:1. Their biggest victory came on Saturday when they beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge 2:1. Interestingly, all three goals came in the first eleven minutes of the game. Fabregas gave hosts the lead in 5th minute, but Crystal Palace answered with a quick doublefire in 9th and 11th minute. First Zaha scored with the assist from Benteke, and than Benteke found the net with the assist from Zaha, in a really cheeky manner. There were couple of more chances from both sides, with Chelsea being closer to finding a net. However, Hennessey was terrific, helping his team to get massive three points from the league leaders. Van Aanholt and Wickham are ruled out for this game due to injuries, while Tomkins, Dann, Flamini and McArthur are questionable.

Southampton is coming after some unconvincing performances, while Crystal Palace is coming full of self-confidence after great couple of results. Southampton are considered favourites, but I wouldn`t agree with that. Big Sam knows how to grind out result, and we`ve seen from the last couple of Southampton`s games that it is not a big deal to take point(s) from them, even on the road. Visitors have finally got used to Allardyce`s style, and they look very hard to beat. Also, even though Southampton is six places above Palace, the difference is only three points. I`m sure that Palace would be happy with a draw here, but coming after a morale boosting victory at Stamford Bridge, they won`t be passive in search for that. Southampton have been much less defensively solid lately, and I`m sure that Crystal Palace can score here. Both teams to score goes at the odds of around 2.00, but I think there is a bigger value in backing Palace to go over 0.75, as I believe that Big Sam could even shut down Southampton, and that no matter the result they will hardly go down without shots being fired. Therefore, I will take Crystal Palace to score over 0.75 team goals at the odds of 1.89.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Crystal Palace Over 0.75 Team Goals Pinnacle 1.89 7 Pending

Roma did well to overpower Empoli in front of own fans last Saturday evening and the overall impression is that the home team didn’t lose much of energy in order to reach the three pointer. Hosts took the lead in 12th minute already via Dzeko, while the Bosnian sealed the final score as well, with his second goal in 56th minute.

Overall, impression is that the players of Roma simply played enough in order to get the victory, without trying too much in the offense, while the players of Empoli also hasd their chances however without plenty of opportunities overall. After this victory, players of Roma have four victories in a row combined with Europa League, keeping the second position at the table with four points more than third placed Napoli.

Roma will be playing in 3-4-2-1 formation with Dzeko as central striker, but also with Nainggolan and Salah behind his back as offensive support. Defensive midfielder Daniele De Rossi (24/0) is doubtful, while injured remains right defender Alessandro Florenzi (9/0). Manager Luciano Spalletti will have defender Kevin Strootman back for this one.

Lazio, on the other side, also comes from a victory earned on Saturday evening, as the side won over Sassuolo away from home with narrow 1:2 three pointer. However, things weren’t that easy for them, since the hosts opened up the scoreline with a penalty taken by Berardi in 26th minute.

Immobile leveled up the result in 42nd minute with players of Lazio continuing to be just a bit better and they scored the second goal seven minutes before the end with an own goal from Sassuolo’s goalkeeper. Overall, it wasn’t that interesting match and was pretty much equal and could have ended differently on some other day. Lazio continues to be fourth at the table, however having just four less than third and Champions League placed Napoli.

Lazio is set to play in their usual 4-3-3 formation using Anderson and Keita on the wings, plus Immobile as their central striker. Felipe Anderson and Keita Balde are expected to start, since Senad Lulic will be needed most likely in the midfield since Marco Parolo (29/5) remains suspended. Goalkeeper Federico Marchetti (17/0) remains injured.

Roma lost the first game with a 2:0 result and will now need to enter the game with attacking style from the frist minute. I definitely see the prevailing here, especially since I’m sure visiting side will be with a bit less of the ball possession, but also knowing that they could progress here even with a narrow defeat. Overall, wouldn’t overwrite even Roma’s chances to progress here, so my stake is definitely with the hosts here.

Bet: Roma Wins @ 1.85 with Pinnacle
 
 

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